First, a quick reality check on the stat. Claims that “~80% of Norwegians are middle class” are plausible depending on definition (middle income vs. middle class; relative vs. absolute thresholds). Norway does have:
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very low income inequality,
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a compressed wage distribution,
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and a large share of households clustered near the median.
So while the number floats, the underlying point is correct: Norway has an unusually broad, stable middle.
Now the bigger question: should the rest of the world try to do that?
In principle: yes
A large middle-income population is strongly associated with:
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social stability,
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higher trust in institutions,
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better health and education outcomes,
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less political extremism,
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and more resilient consumer demand.
From a systems perspective, societies with a thick middle tend to be more governable and less brittle. That’s not ideology; it’s observed pattern.
In practice: “follow suit” needs translation, not copying
Norway’s outcome comes from a specific bundle that can’t be copy-pasted:
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high taxes with high trust that taxes will be used well,
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strong unions and flexible labor markets,
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universal services (health, education) that reduce the need for very high wages just to survive,
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resource rents (oil) captured publicly rather than privately,
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and a small, cohesive population with long institutional continuity.
Most countries differ on several of those axes.
What is transferable
Other countries don’t need to become Norway; they can aim for the same structural goal:
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reduce catastrophic downside risk (healthcare, education, housing),
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prevent extreme top-end rent extraction,
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support wage floors and worker bargaining power,
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and treat middle-income stability as a policy objective, not a byproduct.
Countries that try to grow by enriching only the top and “hoping it trickles” tend to get:
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higher GDP and higher fragility,
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political polarization,
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lower trust,
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and eventually slower growth.
The tradeoff to be honest about
Norway accepts:
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higher taxes,
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less extreme individual upside,
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and slower headline growth
in exchange for:
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security,
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predictability,
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and broad prosperity.
Not every society will choose that trade. Some value volatility and winner-take-most dynamics more highly. That’s a values question, not a technical one.
Bottom line
If your goal is human well-being, stability, and long-run cohesion, then yes:
a large, durable middle-income society is something most countries should deliberately aim for.
But trying to “be Norway” without:
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trust,
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capable institutions,
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and enforcement capacity
usually fails. The goal travels well. The mechanism must be local.
If you want, I can break this down for a specific country (e.g., US, UK, developing economies) and show what a “Norway-like outcome” would actually require there.
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