semi-automatic waffle
"To never forget your own insignificance. To never get used to the unspeakable violence and the vulgar disparity of life around you. To seek joy in the saddest places...To never simplify what is complicated or complicate what is simple. To respect strength, never power. Above all, to watch. To try and understand. To never look away and never, never, to forget." ~ Arundhati Roy
Friday, 20 February 2026
The tension you’re describing is a core conflict in modern economics: the friction between Thermodynamics (physical limits) and Neoclassical Economics.
To understand why ecological limits are ignored in favor of "artificial scarcity" (the idea that we lack money or "value" while having an abundance of physical resources we are destroying), we have to look at how our financial systems are designed.
1. The "Externality" Loophole
In standard economic accounting (GDP), the environment is treated as an externality. This means the "services" the Earth provides—clean air, water filtration, climate stability—are valued at $0 until they are extracted and turned into a commodity.
The Logic: A standing forest has no "value" in a GDP calculation. A felled forest sold as timber adds millions to the turnover.
The Result: We treat the planet’s "capital" (the resources themselves) as "income" (profit). We are effectively spending our inheritance and calling it a salary.
2. Debt-Based Monetary Systems
Most of the money in the global turnover ($40 trillion+ mentioned earlier) is created as debt. When a bank issues a loan, that money must be paid back with interest.
The Pressure: Because the total debt in the world is always greater than the total money in existence (due to interest), the economy must grow physically to generate the value needed to pay back that debt.
The Conflict: You cannot have exponential financial growth on a finite physical planet. This creates a "fictional scarcity" of money that forces us to over-exploit "real" ecological abundance.
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3. The Decoupling Myth
Many policymakers ignore ecological limits because they believe in "Absolute Decoupling." This is the theory that technological advancement will allow us to grow the economy (GDP) indefinitely without increasing our use of energy or materials.
The Reality: While we have become more efficient (relative decoupling), global material footprint and $CO_2$ emissions have historically risen alongside GDP. We haven't yet proven we can grow the "fictions" without consuming the "real."
4. Short-term Incentives vs. Geological Time
The systems we discussed—NGOs, Governments, and Corporations—operate on very short cycles:
Corporations: 3-month quarterly reports.
Governments: 2-to-4-year election cycles.
The Ecosystem: Operates on decades, centuries, and millennia.
When a system is rewarded for growth now, it is structurally incentivized to ignore a limit that might cause a collapse later.
Comparison of Real vs. Fictional Limits
| Feature | Ecological Limits (The Real) | Economic Scarcity (The Fiction) |
| Source | Laws of Physics/Biology | Human Policy & Central Banks |
| Flexibility | Non-negotiable (e.g., Photosynthesis rates) | Highly flexible (e.g., Printing money/QE) |
| Feedback | Ecosystem collapse, extinction | Inflation, recession, debt crisis |
| Current Status | Over-budget (Overshoot) | Artificially constrained |
The "Degrowth" or "Doughnut" Alternative
Economists like Kate Raworth argue that we should flip the script. Instead of trying to grow the economy and hoping it fits the planet, we should start with the Ecological Ceiling and the Social Foundation, and let the economy be whatever size it needs to be to fit within those two boundaries.
The "Bad": The Risks of "Big Charity"
Critics point out that when NGOs become too large or too numerous, they can accidentally cause harm.
The Dependency Trap: Some argue that constant NGO aid prevents local governments from building their own systems.
If an NGO provides free water and schools forever, the local government has no incentive to build infrastructure or collect taxes to fund them. Lack of Accountability: If a government fails, you can vote them out. If a private NGO fails or mismanages money, there is often very little the local people (the "beneficiaries") can do about it. They are accountable to their donors in New York or London, not the people they are helping.
"The Overhead Myth": While we want money to go to the cause, massive growth leads to massive marketing. Some major NGOs spend 25-40% of their revenue on fundraising and "glossy" ads just to compete for your attention, which can feel like the money isn't reaching the ground.
Crowding Out: In some cases, high-paying NGOs "poach" the best local doctors and teachers from government clinics and schools, actually weakening the country's public system while trying to help it.
The Verdict?
Most modern thinkers suggest that the amount of money isn't the problem—it's how it's used. The current "gold standard" in the industry is moving away from "doing things for people" and toward "Capacity Building"—where NGOs use their funds to train locals and build systems so that, eventually, the NGO can leave.
Perspective Note: It’s often said that the ultimate goal of a "good" NGO should be to put itself out of business.
To understand Marx’s take on Cartesian dualism, we first have to look at what he was rebelling against. René Descartes famously proposed a strict separation between the Res Cogitans (the thinking mind) and the Res Extensa (the physical world/matter).
Marx found this divide not just philosophically wrong, but socially dangerous. Here is how he broke it down:
1. The Rejection of "Ghost in the Machine"
Marx was a materialist.
The Shift in Priority
Descartes: Ideas are primary; the material world is secondary or doubted.
Marx: Material conditions (food, shelter, labor) are primary; ideas are a "sublimation" of these material life-processes.
2. Consciousness as a Social Product
Marx argued that the "mind" isn't a private, internal theater. He believed that human consciousness is inherently social.
"Consciousness is, therefore, from the very beginning a social product, and remains so as long as men exist at all."
By separating mind from matter, Cartesian dualism treats the individual as an isolated ego. Marx argued that this "isolation" is an illusion created by alienation in a capitalist society.
3. The Problem of "The Spectator"
Marx’s biggest gripe with dualism was that it turned humans into spectators. If the mind is totally separate from the material world, then the mind’s job is simply to "observe" or "reflect" on reality.
Marx countered this with the concept of Praxis (action/practice). He argued that we don't understand the world by sitting back and thinking about it; we understand it by changing it.
| Feature | Cartesian Dualism | Marx’s Dialectical Materialism |
| Relation | Mind and Matter are separate substances. | Mind is a function of Matter (the brain/society). |
| Direction | Thoughts determine how we perceive the world. | Social existence determines consciousness. |
| The Individual | An isolated "I" or "Ego." | A "Social Being" defined by relationships. |
| Knowledge | Attained through internal reflection. | Attained through labor and revolutionary practice. |
4. Why the Divide Exists (According to Marx)
Marx didn't just disagree with Descartes; he explained why people found dualism so convincing. He believed that the division of labor—specifically the split between mental labor (the people who plan) and manual labor (the people who do)—creates the intellectual illusion that the "mind" is a higher, separate entity from the "physical" work of the world.
Wednesday, 18 February 2026
From What Is to What If is a book by Transition Network founder Rob Hopkins that argues for reclaiming collective imagination to solve environmental and social crises. It advocates moving from stagnant, current realities ("what is") to a future-focused, imaginative mindset ("what if"), highlighting community-driven, creative solutions to foster rapid, positive change.
Key Themes and Concepts:
- Reclaiming Imagination: Hopkins argues that modern society has suffered an "imaginative decline," leaving us unable to envision better alternatives to the status quo.
- The Power of "What If": The book encourages asking "what if" questions to spark creative thinking about alternative futures, such as "What if we took play seriously?" or "What if schools nurtured imagination?".
- Actionable Examples: It showcases examples of community-led initiatives—from local energy projects in Totnes, England, to creative urban planning—demonstrating that tangible change is possible.
- Overcoming Apathy: It acts as a call to action to move beyond just analyzing current crises (the "what is") and instead to actively design and build a desirable future (the "what if").
- Focus on the Local: The book emphasizes that profound change can begin in local communities and through individual, collective actions.
The book is aimed at anyone looking to address the climate crisis and other global challenges through a more human, creative, and proactive approach.
Tuesday, 17 February 2026
What do you make of this comment: 'Alice Miller speculated that depression was repressed emotion. I was emotionally shut down as a child by an overwhelmed, emotionally immature parent.'
That comment reflects a perspective strongly associated with Alice Miller, particularly in books like The Drama of the Gifted Child. Her core idea was that depression can stem from emotions—especially anger, grief, and hurt—that were never allowed expression in childhood. Instead of being felt and processed, they get pushed down to preserve attachment to a parent.
Here’s what that means in practical terms:
1. The theory itself
Miller believed that when a child grows up with a parent who is emotionally immature, overwhelmed, or unable to tolerate the child’s feelings:
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The child learns which emotions are “unsafe.”
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Anger, sadness, or neediness may be suppressed to avoid rejection.
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The child adapts by becoming compliant, self-controlled, or “easy.”
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The unexpressed emotions don’t disappear—they turn inward.
In that framework, depression isn’t just “low mood.” It can be:
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Anger turned against the self
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Grief that was never allowed
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A collapse after years of emotional self-suppression
2. How that connects to your experience
If you were emotionally shut down by a parent who was overwhelmed and emotionally immature, a few patterns are common:
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You may have learned to minimize your needs.
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You might feel numb rather than openly sad or angry.
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You could struggle to identify what you feel (not because you don’t feel, but because you learned not to).
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You might default to self-criticism rather than outward frustration.
That doesn’t automatically mean “your depression is repressed anger.” But it does make the hypothesis psychologically plausible.
3. What modern psychology would add
Contemporary research sees depression as multi-factorial:
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Attachment patterns
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Nervous system regulation
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Learned cognitive patterns
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Genetics
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Chronic stress
Miller’s lens focuses heavily on emotional repression and childhood adaptation. Many clinicians today would say repression can be one pathway, but not the only one.
4. A nuance that’s important
There’s a difference between:
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Repressed emotion (emotion you’re not consciously aware of)
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Unprocessed emotion (you feel it, but it never got integrated)
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Chronic nervous system shutdown (more physiological than purely emotional)
People who were emotionally shut down as children often describe more numbness or flatness than intense hidden anger. Sometimes what looks like depression is actually a long-term freeze response.
To answer this cleanly, we need to separate three different claims:
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Does wealth/income distribution resemble a power law?
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If so, how strong and universal is that pattern?
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Does that imply inevitability?
1. What Is a Power-Law Distribution?
A power law (often called a Pareto distribution after Vilfredo Pareto) means:
A small number of entities hold a disproportionately large share of something.
Mathematically:
The probability of having wealth x decreases proportionally to x−α.
Characteristics:
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“Fat tails” (extreme values are more common than in a normal distribution)
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Scale invariance (the pattern looks similar at different scales)
This is the origin of the “80/20 rule.”
2. Does Wealth Follow a Power Law?
Short answer:
Yes — but mainly at the top end.
Empirical findings across countries show:
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Upper tail (top ~1–10%) → often fits a Pareto distribution reasonably well.
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Middle distribution → often closer to log-normal.
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Lower end → influenced heavily by institutions, wages, transfers.
This mixed structure is well-documented in economic literature and strongly associated with research by Thomas Piketty and others studying long-run inequality.
So wealth inequality is not a pure power-law system across the entire distribution.
It’s usually a hybrid distribution.
3. Why Do Power Laws Emerge at the Top?
Several mechanisms naturally generate power-law tails:
A. Preferential Attachment
Associated with work by Albert-László Barabási.
“Success breeds success.”
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Investors with more capital can access better deals.
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Networks amplify early advantages.
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Compounding returns widen gaps over time.
B. Multiplicative Growth
If wealth grows proportionally (e.g., 5% return on capital), then:
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Small differences compound dramatically over decades.
Even random proportional growth tends to create skew.
C. Capital vs. Labor Returns
As emphasized by Thomas Piketty:
If r > g (return on capital > economic growth rate), wealth concentration tends to increase.
4. Is It Universal Across Systems?
Power-law patterns appear in:
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City sizes
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Firm sizes
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Internet traffic
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Scientific citations
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Social media followers
This suggests that inequality-like skew is a common feature of complex systems involving feedback loops and growth.
However:
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The degree of inequality varies massively.
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Tax regimes, inheritance laws, welfare states, unionization, and public goods dramatically change distribution shapes.
Compare:
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Scandinavia vs.
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Gilded Age America vs.
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Postwar U.S. vs.
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Modern oligarchic economies.
Same basic market mechanics — very different inequality levels.
That alone tells us:
The pattern may emerge, but its magnitude is highly policy-sensitive.
5. Does Power-Law Behavior Mean Inequality Is “Natural and Unavoidable”?
This is where people overreach.
Even if:
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Complex systems tend to generate skew
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Upper tails often follow Pareto behavior
It does not follow that:
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Inequality cannot be altered
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Extreme concentration is inevitable
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Redistribution is futile
Power-law systems are often parameter-sensitive.
Change taxation, inheritance rules, education access, monopoly policy — the tail exponent changes.
Small institutional differences can produce large distribution differences.
6. The Bottom Line
Does inequality behave like a power-law system?
Partially, yes:
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Especially in the top tail.
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Especially under compounding and network effects.
But:
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It is not a pure law of nature like gravity.
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It is not uniform across societies.
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It is not immune to structural intervention.
What is probably true:
Systems with voluntary exchange, capital accumulation, and feedback loops will tend toward some degree of skew.
What is not proven:
That extreme inequality is fixed, optimal, or inevitable.
So the strongest version of the argument is:
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Skew is common in complex growth systems.
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The degree of skew is socially and institutionally determined.
If you'd like, we can go even deeper into the math — for example, how different tax structures change the Pareto exponent and what that implies for the top 1%.
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